Blake Grupe — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Blake Grupe has been one of the more active kickers in the league over the past three seasons. From 2023 through 2025, he averaged 35 field goal attempts and 28.7 makes per year, with an average of 32.7 extra point attempts and 32 conversions. His long-range work stands out: he has connected on six or more field goals from 50-plus yards in each of the last three seasons, including seven in 2025. That kind of deep range keeps him relevant even when the offense stalls inside the red zone. Now with the Jets, he carries a bye in Week 13, which is late enough to manage around without much disruption.

What the model projects

The projection is 114.0 half-PPR fantasy points. That lands him at K15 and #229 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -62.0, which is below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The median simulated season, at 114.1 points, sits almost exactly on top of the point estimate, suggesting a relatively centered distribution around that number.

The range of outcomes

The outcome band is wide. At the bottom 10% of simulated seasons, Grupe finishes at 32.7 points, a number that reflects how badly a kicker's season can collapse when volume dries up. The 25th percentile comes in at 80.4, still a meaningful step below the projection. The upside is more compressed: the 75th percentile is 138.1 and the 90th percentile reaches 152.9. That ceiling is real but not dramatic. The 2025 season offers a concrete reference point: 37 attempts, 29 makes, 8 misses, and only 25 extra points, a combination that shows how accuracy and PAT volume can drag on a kicker's total even when attempt volume is high.

How to draft him

Grupe is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. In practice, that means he is available as a late-round or post-draft addition in most leagues. His K15 rank and Tier 9 placement reflect a below-replacement projection, so the calculus is straightforward: do not spend a meaningful pick here. Kicker is the last position to fill, and Grupe's numbers do not change that calculus. If you want the volume and the long-range upside, he is a waiver-wire target, not a draft-day commitment.

His projection of 114.0 points and a draft value of -62.0 put him below replacement level at K15 and #229 overall in Tier 9. He has no market ADP, meaning the broader market is not drafting him consistently. He is a waiver-wire option, not a pick to spend.

Over three seasons (2023-2025) he averaged 35 field goal attempts and 28.7 makes per year. His floor is real: the bottom 10% of simulated seasons lands at 32.7 points. His ceiling, at the 90th percentile, is 152.9 points. The 2025 season (37 attempts, 29 makes, 8 misses, 25 extra points) illustrates how a high-attempt year can still underperform if accuracy and PAT volume lag.

Grupe has hit six or more field goals from 50-plus yards in each of the past three seasons, including seven in 2025. That is a consistent part of his profile across the full three-year sample.

His bye is Week 13. That is late in the fantasy regular season, so it requires attention, but kicker is the easiest position to stream around a bye. Given that he carries no market ADP and a below-replacement projection, the bye week is a secondary concern at best.