#275 overall · WAS · 51.7 projected half-PPR pts · -63.5 Draft Value
Antonio Williams — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Antonio Williams is a Washington wide receiver sitting at WR94 and #279 overall in a Tier 9 grouping. At that depth, the case for drafting him is narrow and situational. He belongs on rosters where a drafter needs a late-flier with upside potential, not a reliable weekly contributor. The projection is modest, the draft value is negative, and the band is wide, which means the ceiling is real even if the floor is very low. For a drafter building out the back end of a roster with nothing to lose, Williams represents a low-cost swing.
What the model projects
The projection for Williams is 53.4 half-PPR fantasy points on the season. His draft value sits at -75.3, placing him below replacement level at the wide receiver position. He carries a bye in Week 7. These numbers reflect a player at the outer edge of the rankings, WR94 and #279 overall, in Tier 9.
The range of outcomes
The outcome band for Williams is one of the widest relative to his projection. In a bad season, the bottom 10 percent of simulated outcomes lands at 1.5 points. The 25th percentile comes in at 14.7 points and the median simulated season sits at 35.2 points, well below the 53.4 point projection. The 75th percentile reaches 68.3 points, and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons finishes at 110.6 points. That gap between the median and the 90th percentile is the only reason to roster him: the upside exists, but the typical outcome is a near-zero fantasy contribution.
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our projection
How to draft him
Williams does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being consistently drafted on the platforms tracked. In a 12-team half-PPR snake draft, he is a late-round or undrafted name. Target him only after your roster is otherwise set, as a speculative add with no expectation of regular production. His negative draft value and Tier 9 placement make him a depth stash, not a building block.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 53.4 half-PPR fantasy points. His draft value is -75.3, placing him below replacement level at wide receiver, and he ranks WR94 and #279 overall in Tier 9.
The 90th percentile of simulated seasons lands at 110.6 points, with the 75th percentile at 68.3. Those are the best-case outcomes. The median simulated season is only 35.2 points, and the bottom 10 percent of outcomes is 1.5 points, so the range is extremely wide.
Williams does not have a market ADP across the platforms tracked, meaning he is not being consistently drafted in public 2026 leagues. He is a late-round or undrafted target in a 12-team snake draft.
His draft value of -75.3 puts him below replacement level, and his median simulated season is 35.2 points. The only argument for rostering him is the 90th-percentile ceiling of 110.6 points. He is a speculative depth add, not a player to count on for regular production.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.