#274 overall · BAL · 46.7 projected half-PPR pts · -63.5 Draft Value
Adam Randall — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Adam Randall is a Baltimore Ravens running back sitting at the deep end of the depth chart. At this stage of a roster, the case for drafting him is almost entirely speculative: he is a handcuff candidate in an offense that has historically leaned on its ground game, and any meaningful opportunity that opens ahead of him could push his numbers well above what the projection currently reflects. The p75 outcome of 53.5 half-PPR points and the p90 of 81.2 show there is a real ceiling here if circumstances break right. For a drafter building out the back of a roster, that upside is the entire argument.
What the model projects
The projection is 35.8 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. Randall ranks #352 overall and RB76 at his position, sitting in Tier 9. His draft value is -93.7, which places him below replacement level at the running back position in a 12-team half-PPR format. These numbers reflect a player who, in a typical season, contributes very little to a fantasy lineup.
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide and skewed. The p10 outcome is 0.0 points, meaning in the worst 10 percent of simulated seasons Randall scores nothing at all. The p25 is 7.3 points and the median, p50, is 22.6 points. From there the band opens up: the p75 is 53.5 points and the p90 reaches 81.2 points. The gap between the median and the top of the band is the defining feature of this projection. Most seasons he contributes little; a small share of seasons he contributes meaningfully. That asymmetry is the only reason to roster him.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Randall does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being consistently drafted on the platforms that feed this data. In a 12-team snake draft he is a late-round or post-draft addition, a name to keep on a watch list rather than a pick to plan around. If you want him, a waiver claim or a final-round flier is the realistic path. Roster him only if you have a spot to spare and are specifically targeting the Ravens backfield situation.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 35.8 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks #352 overall and RB76, placing him in Tier 9 with a draft value of -93.7, which is below replacement level at running back in a 12-team half-PPR format.
The p90 outcome across simulated seasons is 81.2 half-PPR points, and the p75 is 53.5. Those are the top-end scenarios. The median simulated season is 22.6 points, and the p10 is 0.0, so the upside is real but the typical outcome is modest.
He has no market ADP in public 2026 drafts, meaning he is not being consistently selected across the platforms that produce this data. He is not a player to target with a planned pick; a waiver wire addition or a final-round flier is the realistic acquisition path.
Adam Randall and the Baltimore Ravens are on bye in Week 13.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.