#317 overall · LAC · 40.8 projected half-PPR pts · -74.5 Draft Value
Tre' Harris — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Tre' Harris lands with the Los Angeles Chargers as a wide receiver whose entire professional statistical record fits inside a single season: 43 targets, 30 receptions, 324 receiving yards, and 1 touchdown in 2025, with 2 rush attempts for 10 yards rounding out the line. That is the full body of work. The case for drafting him is a bet on upside in a new situation, not on a proven track record. His 2025 catch rate of roughly 70 percent on those 43 targets shows he converted opportunities when they came. For a drafter willing to speculate deep in a draft, that efficiency is the thread worth pulling.
What the model projects
The projection is 42.1 half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. Harris ranks WR108 and sits at #320 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -87.1, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The headline number reflects a player the model sees as a fringe contributor at this stage of his career.
| Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush yds | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43 | 30 | 324 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 54.4 |
| 3-yr avg | 43 | 30 | 324 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 54.4 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide, which is the defining feature of Harris as a fantasy asset. The p10 floor is 0.0 points, meaning the worst 10 percent of simulated seasons produce nothing. The p25 is 8.2 points and the median simulated season lands at 24.5 points, both well below the 42.1 point projection. The upside tail, however, is real: the p75 is 56.3 points and the p90 reaches 94.4 points. That gap between the median and the p90 is substantial. Harris is a high-variance, low-floor speculative add, not a reliable weekly contributor in most simulated outcomes.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Harris does not have a market ADP across public 2026 drafts, which means he is not being drafted consistently enough on major platforms to produce a reliable median pick number. In practice, he is a late-round or post-draft addition in most leagues. His Tier 9 placement and #320 overall rank put him at the outer edge of draft consideration. If you roster him, do it with the understanding that the median outcome is a near-zero fantasy contribution, and the value is entirely in the p90 tail. Allocate accordingly: one of your final picks or a waiver claim, never a pick you cannot afford to lose.
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Questions drafters ask
His entire professional statistical record comes from 2025: 43 targets, 30 receptions, 324 receiving yards, 1 receiving touchdown, and 2 rush attempts for 10 yards. The three-year aggregate is identical, meaning 2025 is his only season with recorded NFL stats.
The projection is 42.1 half-PPR fantasy points. He ranks WR108 and #320 overall in Tier 9, with a draft value of -87.1, placing him below replacement level at wide receiver in a 12-team half-PPR format.
The band runs from 0.0 points at the p10 to 94.4 points at the p90. The median simulated season is 24.5 points. The floor is a genuine zero, and the typical outcome is well below the 42.1 point projection. The upside tail at p90 is the only scenario where Harris produces meaningful fantasy value.
He does not have a market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to generate one. He is realistically a post-draft waiver target or a final-round flier in most 12-team leagues.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.