RotoAlpha
Ricky Pearsall

#313 overall · SF · 41.6 projected half-PPR pts · -73.6 Draft Value

Ricky Pearsall — 2026 Fantasy Outlook

The case for drafting him

Ricky Pearsall has back-to-back seasons of NFL production on his resume. In 2024 he caught 31 of 46 targets for 400 yards and 3 touchdowns, adding 45 rush yards on 3 carries. In 2025 he built on that with 36 receptions on 53 targets for 528 yards. Across the three-year aggregate window, he averages 49.5 targets, 33.5 receptions, and 464 receiving yards per season. For a drafter who believes his role in San Francisco expands, those are real NFL reps to point to.

What the model projects

The projection is 0.0 fantasy points. The draft value is -129.2, placing Pearsall at WR252 and #802 overall in Tier 9. There is no positive surplus over replacement level at this projection. His bye week is Week 8.

TgtRecRec ydsRec TDCarRush ydsHalf-PPR
20244631400334578.0
20255336528—2-270.6
3-yr avg49.533.54641.52.521.574.3

The range of outcomes

The simulated outcome band is flat across every percentile: p10, p25, p50, p75, and p90 all land at 0.0 points. There is no spread in the distribution. Every simulated season, from the worst 10% to the best 10%, resolves at the same number. The historical stat lines from 2024 and 2025 are real, but the forward projection does not carry them into this season.

Range of season outcomes — half-PPR points
0.0bad season
(bottom 10%)
24.1typical season
(median)
93.7great season
(top 10%)
50% of all seasons: 8.0–55.7
41.6
our projection

How to draft him

Pearsall has no market ADP across the platforms tracked, which means he is not being drafted consistently enough to register a median pick. In a 2026 snake draft, he is effectively undrafted. At a projection of 0.0 points and a draft value of -129.2, there is no fantasy case for spending a pick on him at any stage of the draft under current projections. Monitor any news that changes his status before committing a late-round flier.

Practice it in a free mock draft →

Questions drafters ask

Does Pearsall have any real NFL production to point to?

Yes. He caught 31 passes for 400 yards and 3 touchdowns in 2024, then followed with 36 receptions for 528 yards in 2025. His three-year average sits at 33.5 receptions, 464 yards, and 49.5 targets per season.

What does the model project for him this season?

The projection is 0.0 fantasy points with a draft value of -129.2. He ranks WR252 and #802 overall in Tier 9.

Is there any upside scenario in the outcome band?

No. Every percentile in the simulated band, from p10 through p90, lands at 0.0 points. The distribution shows no spread at all.

When should I draft him?

He has no market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to produce a median pick number. Under current projections, there is no recommended draft slot.

Practice it in a free mock draft →

Beyond the rankings

This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.

Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.

RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.

Profiles and history are free and never expire. Draft night itself is the Football 2026 Season Pass: $39 once, no subscription, money back through your first real draft.

Final standings: your league
1st · “Greg” (again)3rd title in 5 years
2nd · “The Commish”6 straight playoffs
3rd · “Homer”5 straight playoffs
7th · YouMissed again

Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.

Projections are RotoAlpha's own model, recalculated daily through draft season · How our projections are built · Rankings · Pricing
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