#270 overall · TEN · 102.9 projected half-PPR pts · -63.0 Draft Value
Joey Slye — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Joey Slye has been one of the more active kickers in the league over the past three seasons. His 2025 line reads 28 field goals on 35 attempts, including 9 from 50-plus yards, and 26 extra points. That 50-plus total is the headline: nine makes from distance in a single season is a meaningful volume of high-value kicks. The three-year averages back up the workload story: 24.3 field goals, 30.7 attempts, and 27.7 extra points per season. Tennessee's offense keeps putting him in position to kick, and Slye has consistently converted when the attempts come.
What the model projects
The projection is 102.9 half-PPR fantasy points for 2026. Slye sits at K24 and #260 overall, landing in Tier 9. His draft value is -74.1, which places him below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. The projection reflects a kicker with a real recent track record of volume and long-range makes, but the negative draft value signals that the position-level replacement bar is close enough that the surplus is not there at this rank.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | 4 | 32 | 98.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | 6 | 25 | 114.0 |
| 2025 | 28 | 6 | 26 | 129.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 24.3 | 5.3 | 27.7 | 22.4 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band is wide, as it is for any kicker. The p10 sits at 12.8 points, a near-total collapse in opportunity or accuracy. The p25 is 65.3, a below-average season. The median simulated season lands at 115.2 points, a few ticks above the 102.9 point estimate. The p75 is 134.2 and the p90 reaches 159.2, the kind of ceiling that only materializes if Slye stays healthy, the offense stays productive, and the long-range attempts keep coming at the 2025 rate. The gap between the p10 and p90 is 146.4 points, a reminder that kicker outcomes are among the most volatile at any position. Tennessee's Week 9 bye is worth noting for roster management purposes.
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our projection
How to draft him
Slye is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP. In practice, that means he is available as a late-round or undrafted add in most public 2026 drafts. At K24 and #260 overall in Tier 9, the model does not see a value-over-replacement case for spending a meaningful pick here. If you are targeting a high-volume kicker with a demonstrated long-range game, Slye fits the profile, but the negative draft value means the position's replacement level is close enough that timing matters. Take him only after your roster needs at every other position are addressed.
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Questions drafters ask
His draft value is -74.1, meaning the model projects him below replacement level at kicker in a 12-team half-PPR format. That does not make him undraftable, but it does mean the surplus case is not there. He is a late-add or streaming option, not a pick you spend early.
Over the past three seasons he averaged 24.3 field goals, 30.7 attempts, and 27.7 extra points per year. His 2025 season was his best of the three: 28 field goals on 35 attempts, with 9 makes from 50-plus yards and 26 extra points.
The p90 of the outcome band is 159.2 half-PPR points. That scenario requires sustained opportunity and accuracy, particularly on long-range attempts, where he made 9 from 50-plus in 2025.
Slye and the Titans are on bye in Week 9. Plan your kicker streaming accordingly if you roster him.
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Beyond the rankings
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