#109 overall · SF · 101.7 projected half-PPR pts · -13.6 Draft Value · Market ADP 119.0
De'Zhaun Stribling — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
De'Zhaun Stribling lands at WR58 in a 12-team half-PPR context, which puts him squarely in the deep-roster, late-round conversation. At that tier, the case for drafting him is simple: he is a San Francisco receiver with a projection north of 100 points, and the 49ers offense has a history of turning depth receivers into relevant fantasy contributors when opportunity opens up. If you are building a roster that needs a cheap WR stash in the final rounds, Stribling is a name worth knowing.
What the model projects
The projection is 102.2 half-PPR fantasy points for the season, with a bye in Week 8. His draft value sits at -27.0, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the wide receiver position in a 12-team half-PPR league. He is ranked #142 overall and WR58. Tier 9 is his home in the rankings. The numbers are honest about where he stands: this is a player whose projected output does not clear the replacement bar, and the ranking reflects that plainly.
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, which is the defining characteristic of a player at this tier. The bottom 10 percent of simulated seasons land at 30.1 points, a near-zero fantasy contribution. The 25th percentile is 56.2 points. The median simulated season comes in at 91.2 points, a step below the 102.2 point estimate. The 75th percentile reaches 126.9 points, and the top 10 percent of simulated seasons finish at 174.0 points. That upper tail is real. A season in the 90th percentile would make him a usable fantasy asset; a season near the 10th percentile would make him a roster cut. The spread between those two outcomes is 143.9 points, so the variance here is substantial.
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our projection
How to draft him
Market ADP has Stribling going at pick 118.0 on average, which works out to the 10th round, 10th pick in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. The model has him at #142 overall. If you want him, the market is currently pulling him off the table in the 10th round. In a 12-team league, that is a pick you can afford to spend on a high-variance stash, but go in with clear eyes: the projection is below replacement level, and the floor is low. Target him only if you have your core roster secured and are hunting for upside in the final rounds.
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Questions drafters ask
The projection is 102.2 half-PPR fantasy points. His median simulated season is 91.2 points, so the two numbers are close but not identical.
Below. His draft value is -27.0, which means the projection falls short of the replacement-level baseline at wide receiver in a 12-team half-PPR league.
The 90th-percentile simulated season lands at 174.0 points. That is the top 10 percent of outcomes and represents a genuinely usable fantasy season. The 75th percentile is 126.9 points.
Market ADP puts him at pick 118.0, which is round 10, pick 10 in a 12-team draft, based on a median across two platforms. That is the current market price to secure him on your roster.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.