#7 overall · MIA · 240.4 projected half-PPR pts · +112.0 Draft Value · Market ADP 12.0
De'Von Achane — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
De'Von Achane has done something in three NFL seasons that most backs never manage: he has grown every role simultaneously. In 2023 he posted 800 rush yards and 197 receiving yards in a limited sample. In 2024 the receiving work exploded, with 78 receptions on 87 targets and 592 receiving yards to go alongside 907 rush yards. In 2025 the rushing volume caught up, with 238 attempts and 1,350 rush yards, while the receiving line held at 67 receptions, 488 yards, and 85 targets. The three-year averages tell the story cleanly: 181.3 rush attempts, 69.7 targets, 57.3 receptions, 1,019 rush yards, 425.7 receiving yards, 7.3 rush touchdowns, and 4.3 receiving touchdowns per season. That is a true three-down profile, and it has been consistent across every year he has been healthy enough to run a full workload. He sits at RB5 and #7 overall, in Tier 2, with a draft value of +112.0 points above replacement. The case is straightforward: volume, versatility, and a track record that has only moved in one direction.
What the model projects
The projection for Achane is 240.4 half-PPR fantasy points. That number sits above his 2023 and 2024 actual outputs and reflects the expanded rushing role he demonstrated in 2025. His draft value of +112.0 points above replacement places him at RB5 and #7 overall in Tier 2. His bye week is Week 6, which is early enough that most managers can navigate it without significant roster stress.
| Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Fum | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 103 | 800 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 197 | 3 | 1 | 177.2 |
| 2024 | 203 | 907 | 6 | 87 | 78 | 592 | 6 | 1 | 260.9 |
| 2025 | 238 | 1350 | 8 | 85 | 67 | 488 | 4 | 1 | 289.3 |
| 3-yr avg | 181.3 | 1019 | 7.3 | 69.7 | 57.3 | 425.7 | 4.3 | 1 | 242.7 |
The range of outcomes
The simulated season band is wide, which is consistent with a high-volume back whose workload can shift. At the pessimistic end, the p10 outcome is 143.8 points, a season where things go wrong early and often. The p25 outcome is 195.2 points, a below-average year that still has fantasy utility. The median simulated season lands at 251.9 points, slightly above the 240.4 point projection. The p75 outcome is 300.1 points, a strong season that would make him a weekly starter with upside. The p90 outcome is 333.3 points, a top-shelf performance that would justify any first-round investment. The gap between the p10 and p90 is nearly 190 points, so the downside is real. The three-year fumble average of exactly 1.0 per season is a minor but consistent note; he has never lost more than one fumble in a single year, but it has appeared every season.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Achane is #7 overall and RB5 in these rankings. The market is currently drafting him at pick 1.12 in a 12-team snake draft, a median drawn from two platforms. That means in a standard 12-team draft, he is coming off the board at the very end of the first round. If you hold the 12th pick, he is a realistic target at your natural slot. If you pick earlier in the first round, getting to him requires trading back or hoping for a fall that the market suggests is unlikely. His Week 6 bye is worth noting at draft time so you can plan your roster depth accordingly in the early rounds.
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Questions drafters ask
The three-year averages show both dimensions are real. He has averaged 181.3 rush attempts and 69.7 targets per season from 2023 through 2025, with 2025 specifically producing 238 rush attempts and 85 targets. That is a full workload on both sides of the ball, not a specialist role.
The p10 simulated outcome is 143.8 half-PPR points. That represents the bottom 10 percent of projected season outcomes, a year where volume or efficiency falls well short of the projection. The p25 outcome is 195.2 points, which is the floor for a below-average but still functional season.
The market median across two platforms has him going at pick 1.12, the last pick of the first round in a 12-team draft. If you want him, you need a late first-round pick or a trade to get there. He is ranked #7 overall and RB5 in these rankings.
He has fumbled exactly once in each of his three seasons, 2023, 2024, and 2025, for a three-year average of exactly 1.0 fumble per season. He lost one fumble in 2023 and the data does not record a lost fumble in 2024 or 2025, though the fumble itself occurred each year.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
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