#302 overall · BUF · 94.9 projected half-PPR pts · -70.9 Draft Value
Tyler Bass — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
Tyler Bass plays for one of the most prolific offenses in the league, and the volume numbers reflect it. In 2024, he saw 64 extra point attempts, up from 50 in 2023, a sign that Buffalo's touchdown production was climbing. His field goal attempt count held steady at 29 in both seasons, and he connected on 24 in each, showing consistent output at the raw make total. The 3-year aggregate confirms the pattern: 24 makes, 29 attempts, and 54 extra points per season on average. For a drafter willing to wait on the kicker position, Bass offers a reliable floor of volume tied to a high-powered offense.
What the model projects
The projection is 94.9 half-PPR fantasy points. Bass ranks K29 and sits at #291 overall, placing him in Tier 9. His draft value is -82.1, meaning the projection lands below replacement level at the kicker position in a 12-team half-PPR format. That number is the honest starting point for any decision about whether to spend a late pick here.
| FG | FGM | XP | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | 4 | 49 | 129.0 |
| 2024 | 24 | 5 | 59 | 141.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 24 | 4.5 | 54 | 49.5 |
The range of outcomes
The outcome band on Bass is exceptionally wide, and the shape of it is worth understanding before drafting him. The p10 is 0.0 points, meaning in the worst 10% of simulated seasons he contributes nothing. The p25 is 5.6 points. The median simulated season lands at 42.6 points. From there the upside opens up: the p75 is 113.6 and the p90 reaches 178.4. The gap between the median and the 75th percentile is the largest single jump in the band, which tells you this projection carries significant variance. A typical season looks modest; a strong season looks meaningfully different.
(bottom 10%)
(median)
(top 10%)
our projection
How to draft him
Bass is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to carry a market ADP, so there is no pick-cost signal to work with. His bye is Week 7, which is worth noting for roster management. At K29 and #291 overall with a negative draft value, he is a deep-roster option at best. If you are in a league that requires a kicker and you reach the final rounds without one, Bass is a name to know, but the projection and the band both argue for patience before committing a pick.
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Questions drafters ask
His draft value is -82.1, which places him below replacement level at kicker in a 12-team half-PPR format. He ranks K29 and #291 overall. The projection of 94.9 points reflects consistent historical volume, but the value-over-replacement math does not favor spending an early pick on him.
Over the past two seasons he attempted 29 field goals each year and made 24 both times. Extra point attempts rose from 50 in 2023 to 64 in 2024. The 3-year aggregate shows 29 attempts, 24 makes, and 54 extra points per season, with 4.5 misses on average.
Very wide. The p10 outcome is 0.0 points and the p25 is just 5.6. The median simulated season is 42.6 points. The p75 is 113.6 and the p90 reaches 178.4, so the upside exists but the downside is steep.
He has no market ADP, meaning he is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to establish one. He is a late-round or undrafted option in most leagues. His Week 7 bye is a roster management consideration if you do add him.
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Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.