#256 overall · TEN · 84.6 projected half-PPR pts · -61.2 Draft Value
Tennessee Titans — 2026 Fantasy Outlook
The case for drafting him
There is not a strong affirmative case here. The Tennessee Titans DST sits at DST29 and #233 overall in a Tier 9 grouping, with a draft value of -61.2. That negative figure means the unit projects below replacement level at the position. The three-year averages tell a consistent story: 39.7 sacks, 7.7 interceptions, 7 fumble recoveries, and 1.3 defensive touchdowns per season. The sack total is the one number that has shown some life, reaching 45 in 2023 and 42 in 2025, but points allowed have climbed each year, from 367 in 2023 to 460 in 2024 to 478 in 2025. The unit has allowed 28 or more points in at least two games in each of the last three seasons, and four games of 35-plus points allowed in both 2024 and 2025. Those are not the footprints of a fantasy-viable defense.
What the model projects
The projection is 84.6 half-PPR fantasy points for the season. The draft value is -61.2, placing this unit below replacement level at the DST position. The overall rank is #233 overall, and the position rank is DST29. The Titans carry a Week 9 bye. The three-year aggregate points-allowed average of 435 per season is the backdrop for that projection, and the trend has moved in the wrong direction across all three years on record.
| Sacks | INT | FF | FR | TD | Saf | PA | PA 1-6 | PA 7-13 | PA 14-20 | PA 21-27 | PA 28-34 | PA 35+ | Half-PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 45 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 1 | — | 367 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | — | 107.0 |
| 2024 | 32 | 11 | 10 | 6 | — | 1 | 460 | — | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 71.0 |
| 2025 | 42 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 478 | — | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 81.0 |
| 3-yr avg | 39.7 | 7.7 | 10 | 7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 435 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 88.3 |
The range of outcomes
No simulated-season band data is available for this unit in the current FACTS, so a percentile breakdown cannot be provided. What the historical record does show is meaningful variance in the playmaking categories: sacks ranged from 32 in 2024 to 45 in 2023, and interceptions ranged from 6 to 11 across the three seasons. Defensive touchdowns have been scarce, averaging 1.3 per year. Even in the better-performing years, the points-allowed volume has been high enough to suppress fantasy scoring. The floor and ceiling both sit in a range that is difficult to build a weekly starting lineup around.
How to draft him
Market ADP is unavailable for the Titans DST, meaning the unit is not being drafted consistently enough across platforms to register a median pick. That absence is itself informative. At DST29 and #233 overall with a -61.2 draft value, this is a unit to leave off the target list entirely in a standard 12-team snake draft. If a roster spot opens late and every other option is gone, the Week 9 bye is a scheduling note worth keeping in mind, but there is no scenario in the current projections where this unit earns a meaningful draft pick.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Questions drafters ask
The projection is 84.6 fantasy points with a draft value of -61.2, placing the unit at DST29 and #233 overall in Tier 9. That negative draft value means the unit projects below replacement level at the position, and market ADP is unavailable, indicating the unit is not being consistently drafted across platforms. There is no projection-supported case for spending a pick here.
Points allowed have risen each year: 367 in 2023, 460 in 2024, and 478 in 2025. The three-year average is 435. Games allowing 28 or more points have appeared in every season, and both 2024 and 2025 included four games of 35-plus points allowed.
Over the three seasons from 2023 to 2025, the unit averaged 39.7 sacks, 7.7 interceptions, 7 fumble recoveries, and 10 forced fumbles per year. Sacks peaked at 45 in 2023 and dipped to 32 in 2024 before rebounding to 42 in 2025. Interceptions ranged from 6 to 11 across the same span.
The Titans DST has a Week 9 bye.
Practice it in a free mock draft →
Beyond the rankings
This page ranks the players. Nobody has ranked the people in your league.
Half your room drafts off a sheet like this one. The managers who cash every year aren't holding a better sheet; they have tendencies, and after enough seasons the tendencies are a book. Your league's own draft history is where it's written.
RotoAlpha reads it. Paste your past drafts, from any platform, and every manager in your league gets a profile: who reaches, who chases runs, who pays up for their own team. Then it sits with you on draft night with a plan that adapts pick by pick, knowing who is likely to reach next.
Names invented. Most long-running leagues have a table like this.